FIIA Comment

FIIA Comment 5 (2015)   

The new Minsk ceasefire:
A breakthrough or just a mirage in the Ukrainian conflict settlement?

Published 13.2.2015

András Rácz, Sinikukka Saari
The Finnish Institute of International Affairs

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The new Minsk ceasefire agreement empowers Russia-backed separatists with a number of leverages over Ukraine. If implemented, the agreement could provide a functioning framework for a mutually acceptable political settlement. In the event of non-implementation, a re-eruption of hostilities is highly likely.