Arkady Moshes


Yli 140 tieteellistä julkaisua ja analyyttistä kirjoitusta, mm.:
Does it make sense to expect a colour revolution in Belarus? PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 485, October 2017.

EU-Russia relations: quo vadis? Muddling, normalization or deterioration. PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 454, January 2017.

Lukashenko’s "Drift to the West”: Why Moscow Should Not Be Worried. PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 440,September2016.

Three years after Euromaidan: is Ukraine still on the reform track?(with R.Nizhnikau), FIIA Briefing paper 207, December 2016.

Belarus: deepening dependence on Russia leaves little room for the EU's geostrategic engagement. (with András Rácz). In FIIA Report 47 Key Actors in the EU's Eastern Neighbourhood, September 2016, pp. 133-148.

EU policy in the Eastern Neighbourhood: more ambition, stricter conditionality, less for less. The European Union at the new crossroads. Conference Contributions for "The European Union: Imprint of the Latvian Presidency”, Latvian Institute of International Affairs, Riga, 2016, pp. 19-22.

Will Europe Blink First on Ukraine? PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo 422, March 2016.

The Eurasian Economic Union: a case of reproductive integration? (with S.Roberts) – Post-Soviet Affairs (forthcoming)
No Change on the Horizon: Belarus after the 2015 Presidential Election FIIA Briefing Paper 181, September 2015 (co-authored with András Rácz).

The war and reforms in Ukraine: Can it cope with both? FIIA Briefing Paper 173, March 2015.

Not Another Transnistria: How sustainable is separatism in Eastern Ukraine? FIIA Analysis 4, December 2014 (co-authored with Andras Racz).

The Eurasian Economic Union: Breaking the pattern of post-Soviet integration? (together with Sean Roberts, Anaïs Marin & Katri Pynnöniemi). FIIA Analysis, September 2014.

Russian-Belarussian Relations after Vilnius: Old Wine in New Bottles? PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 304, December 2013.

Europe’s Disillusionment with Russia. - PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 284, August 2013.PONARS Eurasia Policy Perspectives, George Washington University, August 2013, pp. 60-63.

The Eurasian Customs Union and the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations. Paper presented at the 5th East Asia Conference for Slavic Eurasian Studies, Osaka, August 9, 2013.

A marriage of unequals: Russian-Ukrainian relations under president Yanukovich. – St. Meister (ed.). Economization versus Power Ambitions. Rethinking Russia's policy towards post-Soviet states. DGAP-Schriften zur Internazionalen Politik. Nomos, 2013, pp. 59 -72.

"Will Ukraine Join (and Save) the Eurasian Customs Union?" – PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 247, April 2013.

The EU-Russian strategic partnership: a patient in a deplorable condition. Paper presented at the conference "EU Responses to External Challenegs as Seen from Germany, Poland, Nordic and Baltic Countries and the EU Neighbourhood”, Helsinki, 27.-28.09.12.
Will Europe Walk Away from Ukraine? PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 236, September 2012.

Russia’s European policy under Medvedev: how sustainable is a new compromise? International Affairs, Vol. 88, no.1, 2012

Russia and the New ”Transitional” Europe. In: M.Lipman, N.Petrov (eds.) Russia 2020: Scenarios for the Future. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington DC, 2011, pp. 89-108.

Russia-China relations: Current state, alternative futures, and implications for the West. FIIA Report no. 30. syyskuu 2011. (toimittanut yhdessä M. Nojosen kanssa).

Russia as a Network State. What Works in Russia When State Institututions Do Not. (Editor, together with V.Kononenko). Palgrave Macmillan, 2011, 190 p.

Russia in European Security Architecture: Contributor or Contender? In: R.Alcaro, E.Jones (Eds.). European Security and the Future of Transatlantic Relations. IAI Research Papers, Edizioni Nuova Cultura, Rome, 2011, pp. 97-115.

Russia and the European Union: A New "Balance of Self-Condifence”. PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo 143. PONARS Eurasia Workshop, Moscow, March 2011.

Russia and the new Europe in-between (venäjäksi), Pro et Contra (Moscow), Vol. 14, No. 4-5, July-October 2010, pp. 128 - 144

Ukraine's drift away from Russia: will it continue and what are the implications for the EU. Europe's World, May 11, 2010.

Avenue of Independence. Will Russian-Belorusian Relations Take the Ukrainian Path? Russia in Global Affairs, 2010, N.2, April -June.

Russia 2004-09: a Regional Power Challenged. - H. Haukkala, S. Saari (toim.) Russia Lost or Found? Edita Publishing, Helsinki, 2009, pp. 86 - 111.

The rapprochement between Belarus and the European Union: How Serious Is It? - PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 70, PONARS Eurasia Policy Conference Book, Georgetown University, Eurasian Strategy Project, pp. 61 - 66.

Practise what you preach. The prospects for visa freedom in Russia-EU relations. FIIA Report no. 18. Helsinki, 2009. (Co-authored with M.-M.Salminen)

EU-Russia relations: unfortunate continuity. - European issues, no. 129, 24 February 2009, 8 p.

Russia and Europe in the Aftermath of the Georgian Conflict: New Challenges, Old Paradigms. Chatham House, REP BN 08/04, September 2008.

Not yet at the crossroads: Is there hope for positive change in Russia-EU relations? - Moving out of the doldrums? Perspectives on Change in Russia-EU relations. Ed. R. Kefferpuetz. Heirich Böll Foundation, June 2008.

A special case? What Stands Behind Ukraine's Commitment to "Democratic Transition". - Russia in Global Affairs. Vol. 6, No. 2, April - June 2008, pp. 35-50.

Slowly but Surely? The European Neighborhood Policy as a New Framework for Transatlantic Integration. PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 13, PONARS Eurasia Policy Coneference Book, Georgetown University, Eurasian Strategy Project.

Russian-European Relations: Dualism Forever? In: Rusland for og nu (Russia before and now). Essays collection in honour of General Karsten J. Moller. Forsvarsakademiet, Copenhagen 2007. Ed. K. Winther. pp. 117-129.

Ukraine: Domestic Changes and Foreign Policy Reconfiguration. In: Political Trends in the New Eastern Europe: Ukraine and Belarus. Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, Carlisle, PA, 2007, pp. 17-46.

Priorität gesucht. Die EU, Russland unde ihre Nachbarn. - Osteuropa, Jahrgang 57, No. 2-3, Februar - März 2007, ss. 21 - 33. In English: In Search of Priorities. The EU, Russia and Their Neighbours. - Osteuropa: The Europe beyond Europe (ed. M.Sapper et al.), Berlin, Berlin Wissenshcafts-Verlag, 2007, pp. 131-153.

Post-imperial Russia: emergence and prospects of regaining influence in the post-Soviet space. In: W. Kononczuk (ed.). Putin’s Empire. Stefan Batory Foundation, Warsaw, 2007

Ukraine's Strategic Security: Crossroads Passed, Bumpy Road Ahead, or an Optimistic View? Quid Ukraine’s Strategic Security? Working Paper No. 24 of the European Security Forum. CEPS, IISS and DCAF, Brussels, January 2007.

Ukraine Between a Multivector Foreign Policy and Euro-Atlantic Integration:
Has It Made Its Choice?
- PONARS Policy Memo Series No. 426

Change in the Air in Ukraine. Russia in Global Affairs, N. 2, April – June 2006

Making a Difference. Why and how Europe should increase its engagement in Ukraine. FIIA Briefing Paper 6

Eastern Neighbourhood of the European Union as an Opportunity for Nordic Actors. DIIS Working Paper no 2006/12. Copenhagen, 2006.

Russian Pressing and Europe’s Appeal (in Russian). In: M.Pogrebinsky (ed.) The Orange Revolution. Versions, Chronics, Documents. Kiev, Optima, 2005.

Reaffirming the Benefits of Russia’s European Choice. Russia in Global Affairs, N. 3, July – September 2005.

Big Brother’s Grip is Weakening (in Finnish). Ulkopolitiikka (Helsinki), N.2, 2005.

Compromise and Its Limits. National Security and Defence (Kiev), N. 9, 2004.

Europe in Search of Russia. Pragmatic Minimalism or Systemic Transformation? (in Russian). Evropa (Warsaw), N.4, 2004.

Quo Vadis, Ukraine? (in Russian). International Trends (Moscow), N. 3, 2004.

Ukraine after Kuchma. Russia in Global Affairs, n. 4, October-December 2004.

Littoral States and Region Building Around the Black Sea. In: O.Pavliuk, I.Klympush-Tsintsadze (eds.). The Black Sea Region. Cooperation and Security Building. EastWest Institute. M.E.Sharpe, 2004.

Is the Europeanization of Russia Over? (co-authored by T.Bordachev). Russia in Gobal Affairs. N. 2, April-June, 2004.

The Baltic States in the EU: Implications for Russia and Russian-Baltic Relations. In: Putin’s Russia. Startegic Westernization? Conference Proceedings. Ed. by J. Wilhelmsen. NUPI, 2004.

"Beyond "Big Bang”: The Challenges of the EU’s Neighbourhood Policy in the East", FIIA Report 9/2004.

EU:n on ohjattava Venäjää. Ulkopolitiikka, N 3-4, 2003. In English: EU has to shape Russia. The Yearbook of Finnish Foreign Policy 2004, FIIA, Helsinki.

Europe Without Visas: Does Russia Have a Chance?. PONARS Policy Memo Series No. 302. – CSIS.

Pilotregion oder doppelte Peripherie? - Osteuropa. N. 2/3, 2003.

Russia and NATO: Analysis of Russian Perceptions. In: B.Heurlin, M.Rasmussen (eds.). Challenges and Capabilities. NATO in the 21st Century. Copenhagen, Danish Institute for International Studies, 2003.

Russia and Europe. Looking for a Formula of Relations. In: Whither Europe? Vol. 1. Borders, Boundaries, Frontiers in a Changing World. Ed. by R.Lindahl. Göteborg University, 2003.

Kaliningrad: Challenges Between Russia and Europe. In. I.Kempe (ed.) Prospects and Risks Beyond EU Enlargement. Eastern Europe: Challenges of a Pan-European Policy. Leske+Budrich, Opladen, 2003.

"Rethinking the Respective Strategies of Russia and the European Union", (ed.) Special FIIA - Carnegie Moscow Center Report (2003)

"Ukraine in Tomorrow's Europe", FIIA Report 4/2003

The Evolution of Relations within the Slavic Triangle: a View from Russia. In: A.Moshes, B. Nygren (eds.). A Slavic Triangle? Present and Future Relations Between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus. Swedish National Defence College.

Lukashenka's Role in Russian Politics. In: Independent Belarus: Domestic Determinants, Regional Dynamics, and Implications for the West. Ed. By M. Balmaceda, J. I. Clem, L. L. Tarlow. Harward University Press.

The Double Enlargement, Russia and the Baltic States. - DUPI Working Paper 2002/4, Copenhagen.

Kaliningrad Regions - A Stumbling Bloc for the Partnership between EU and Russia? (in Danish). - DUPI Working paper 2002/3, Copenhagen.

Russian-Ukrainian Rapproachement of 2001. How Viable? - Security Dialogue. Vol. 33, N. 2, 2002.

Russian Factor in Ukrainian Parliamentary Elections. National Security and Defence. Kiev, N.2, 2002

EU:n huomiset naapurit. (EU Tomorrow's Neighbours, in Finnish). - Ulkopolitiikka, n. 1, 2002.

Russia, EU Enlargement, and the Baltic States. In: H.Hubel (ed.). EU Enlargement and Beyond: the Baltic States and Russia. - Berlin Verlag. Berlin, 2002.

Russian Policy in the Baltic Sea Region in 2000-s: First Results and Future Prospects. - The Norwegian Atlantic Committee Security Policy Library, n.9, 2001.

Actor in the Union, Partner for Russia. Northern Dimension. Yearbook of the Finnish Institute of International Affairs, 1999, 2000. A review. - Cooperation and Conflict. Vol. 36, n.3, 2001.

Russian-Ukrainian Relations: Towards a New Model without an Old Burden (in Russian). Politeia, Moscow, Spring 2001.

The Slavic Triangle. Ukraine and Belarus in Russian Foreign Policy in 1990-s (in Russian). - Pro et contra, Moscow, Winter-Spring 2001.

Russisch-ukrainische Beziehungen: Eine Spirale nach Unten? - Bemerkungen aus russischer Sicht. In: E.Reiter (Hg). Kriesengebiete in Europa. - Hamburg, Mittler, 2001.

Russia-Ukraine: Entering a New Phase. In: L.Hoffmann, F.Moellers (eds.). Ukraine on the Road to Europe. - Physica-Verlag Heidelberg, 2001.

Russia's Belarus Dilemma. PONARS Policy Memo Series, N. 182. - Council on Foreign Relations, Washington, 2001.

Russia - Lithuania: Preserving Interaction. - Lithuanian Foreign Policy Review, N. 2, 2000.

Evolution of the CIS Security Space (in Russian) In: Dmitry Danilov, Arkady Moshes. Structuring Security Space in the West and East of Europe. Report of the Institute of Europe, RAS, N. 70. Moscow, Exlibris-press, 2000.

Military-Political Re-Orientation of Central and Eastern Europe and the Baltic States (in Russian). In: Dmitry Danilov, Arkady Moshes. Structuring Security Space in the West and East of Europe. Report of the Institute of Europe, RAS, N. 70. Moscow, Exlibris-press, 2000.

Russia Looks at the Baltic Sea Region. (co-authored by Bertil Nygren). - National Defense College, Stockholm, 2000.

Regularly comments and opinion pieces in the Russian and Finnish media. Publication of the Year award, granted by Moscow News (2000).

Overcoming Unfriendly Stability. Russian-Latvian Relations at the End of 1990s. -FIIA&IEP, Kauhava, Finland, 1999.

Co-authored reports of the Russian non-governmental Council on Foreign and Defence Policy.on Russian-Belorusian relations (1997), "Baltia - Trans-European Corridor to the XXIst century" (2000), "Russia's Interests in the North of Europe" (2001), "European Integration and Economic Relations between Russia, Baltic States and Belarus" (2001), "Russia and the Baltic States: New Relations in the New Context?" (2002), "Post-Communist Space - Results and Prospects of Transformation" (2003)