Correlation is not causation

Tisdag, 4. November 2008     1 kommentti(a)

A quick reminder from the UPI blog on this historic day of some basic political science methodology: a correlation does not prove causation. Nevertheless, sometimes the correlation can be rather spooky!

1976 - James Hunt of Great Britain becomes Formula One world champion.
1976 - Jimmy Carter of the Democratic Party is elected to the presidency of the United States.

1992 - Nigel Mansell of Great Britain becomes Formula One world champion.
1992 - Bill Clinton of the Democratic Party is elected to the presidency of the United States.

1996 - Damon Hill of Great Britain becomes Formula One world champion.
1996 - Bill Clinton of the Democratic Party is re-elected to the presidency of the United States.

2 November 2008 - Lewis Hamilton of Great Britain becomes Formula One world champion.
4 November 2008 - ...

Well, we have a few more hours to wait and see if the correlation continues!


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4.11.2008, Hans Mortenson
 

Indeed.

But it all boils down to the fact:

"If you want to win - hire a Finn."

- Applies to the WRC, the F1 and the Nobels...
(Not to this years's WRC nor the F1, obviously..)

But, let's hope that history shall not repeat itself as it did in the 2000 U.S. elections, when it was down to technicalities – an analogy to Juha Kankkunen's team for being guilty of the implementation of illegal turbo restrictor bypasses on their Toyota Celica back in 1995.

But the time will tell whether I get to blame the voting system or the electorate for a possible wrong choice.

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