Georgian Dream or Nightmare?
Transition of power poses great challenges for Georgia and its foreign relations
The Finnish Institute of International Affairs
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The victory of the Georgian Dream Coalition (GDC) over the
United National Movement (UNM) has brought pluralism into Georgian
Until the power shifts from the President to the Prime
Minister in 2013, the country will be led by an awkward dual power.
New leadership offers great opportunities for Georgia. It
can improve its democratic system and economic growth and establish a dialogue
with Russia and the breakaway districts of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. This
would alleviate the frozen conflict and tense security dilemma on the boundary
If the transition of power does not go well, there will be
prolonged power struggles that could cripple the policymaking and cast Georgia
back to pre-Saakashvili times.
Saakashvili’s UNM is still a very significant player in
Georgian politics and it is important for the GDC and the UNM to find a way to
In order to smooth the fragile transition period, Georgia
needs special support and attention.