The new Minsk ceasefire agreement empowers Russia-backed separatists with a number of leverages over Ukraine. If implemented, the agreement could provide a functioning framework for a mutually acceptable political settlement. In the event of non-implementation, a re-eruption of hostilities is highly likely.

Sinikukka Saari
Senior Research Fellow - The EU's Eastern Neighbourhood and Russia research programme
András Rácz
András Rácz